03/12/08

Who were cell phone leaders in 2007?

 

 

Four operators were leaders in 2007: in market share (Vivo), coverage (Tim), growth (Claro) and ARPU (BrT).

 

Leader in
Indicator
Leader
1Q07
Leader
2Q07
Leader
3Q07
Leader
4Q07
2007
Cellulars
Market Share
Vivo
Vivo
Vivo
Vivo
Vivo
Coverage
Population attended
Tim
Tim
Tim
Tim
Tim
Growth
Net Adds
Tim
Claro
Claro
Claro
Claro
Revenue per Client
ARPU
Tim
Tim
BrT
BrT
BrT
Revenue
Net Revenue
Vivo
Tim
Vivo
Tim
Vivo
Profit
EBITDA Margin
Telem./
Amaz
Telem./
Amaz
Oi
Oi

Telem/

Amaz

Quality
Anatel Goals
Telem./
Amaz
Telem./
Amaz e Oi
Telem./
Amaz
Claro

Telem/

Amaz

Note: The order doesn't reflect the importance of the indicators. CTBC and Sercomtel weren't included.

 

Telemig/Amazônia, leader in profit and quality in 2007, lost the leadership on these two indicators in the 4th quarter of 2007 (4Q07) to Oi and Claro. The most fierce dispute happened between Vivo and Tim for the leadership in net revenue.

 

It's following presented a detailed analyse of these results.

 

Market Share: Vivo keeps leadership

 

Vivo kept leadership, even losing market share in every quarter. Claro was the only operator to always win market share. Tim presented a little decrease in the 4Q07.

 

Millions 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07
Vivo 29.08% 28.42% 28.35% 27.78% 27.68%
Tim 25.45% 25.77% 25.78% 25.87% 25.85%
Claro 23.90% 24.09% 24.61% 24.82% 24.99%
Oi 13.09% 13.08% 12.78% 13.21% 13.21%
Telemig/Amaz 4.65% 4.65% 4.53% 4.37% 4.39%
BrT 3.38% 3.56% 3.53% 3.57% 3.52%

 

Vivo is the biggest cellular operator of Brazil with 34.5 million cellulars. It's leader in market share in 2 Regions, 11 States (UF) and 29 of the 67 local areas (DDD). (More details).

 

Leader in
Market Share
Region
State*
Area Code DDD
1Q07
4Q07
1Q07
4Q07
Vivo
II/III
11
11
28
27
Tim
-
7
8
20
19
Claro
-
3
3
5
8
Oi
I
4
4
9
9
Telemig/Amaz
-
2
1
5
4
BrT
-
-
-
-
-

* Federacy Units

 

Between 4Q07 and 1Q07 Vivo lost to Claro the leadership in the area codes 12 (São José dos Campos/SP) and 19 (Campinas/SP), but took from Oi the leadership in the area code 73 (Ilhéus/BA).

 

Tim took from Telemig the leadership in Minas Gerais and in the area code 38 (Montes Claros/MG), but lost the leadership in the area code 69 (Porto Velho/RO) to Claro and in the area code 86 (Teresina/PI) to Oi.

 

With the joint venture of Telemig, Vivo is able to keep leadership in 2008. Vivo/Telemig ended 2007:

  • With 37,385 thousand cellulars and market share of 30.9%.
  • In the 3rd position in market share of the Region I, surpassing Claro.
  • Leader in 12 States (UF) and in 32 areas of the Area code (DDD).

 

Coverage: Tim will have its threatened in 2008

 

Tim, only operator in all States (UF), is leader in population and cities attended.

 

Operator
Population
Cities
Tim
86%
45%
Claro
78%
42%
Vivo
67%
42%
Oi
39%
15%
Brasil Telecom
21%
15%
Telemig/Amaz
15%
10%

 

 

The leadership of Tim will be threatened in 2008 by Vivo and Claro that will be in all of the States of Brazil.

 

With the joint venture of Telemig, Vivo got leadership in cities coverage (48%), but continues in 3rd in population attended (76%).

 

 

Growth: Claro leads the quarter and the year

 

Claro kept leadership with net adds of 2,247 thousand cellulars in the quarter and 6,347 thousand cellulars in the year. It was exceeded by Tim just in the 1Q07.

 

 

Oi after having a strong growth in the 3Q07 according to the campaign "Ligador" reduced in the 4Q07. Amaz/Telemig grew in the 4Q07 with net adds of 390 thousand cellulars, focused in Belo Horizonte (area code - DDD 31).

 

Vivo was really good in the 4Q07 with net adds of 2,163 thousand cellulars leading growth in december.

 

Vivo/Telemig surpassed Claro in net adds in the 4Q07.

 

The results of Jan/08 indicate that the dispute for leadership in net adds in 2008 must continue being between Claro and Tim.

 

ARPU: BrT surpass Tim

ARPU R$
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
2007
BrT
33.4
33.8
34.9
34.6
34.6
TIM
34.4
34.6
34.0
34.5
34.4
Vivo
30.0
29.9
30.8
31.1
30.4
Amaz Cel
28.4
28.9
28.7
30.4
29.1
ARPU Brasil
29.3
29.4
29.6
30.0
29.7
Telemig
27.6
29.2
29.1
28.9
28.7
Claro
27.0
27.0
27.0
28.0
28.0
Oi
21.6
21.5
22.3
22.7
22.7

 

Brasil Telecom (BrT) surpassed Tim and got the leadership in monthly average revenue per client (ARPU) in the 4Q07 and in the year of 2007.

 

Tim takes a small advantage over the other operators for having built its revenue from services revenue from long distance (41). That does not occur with others. It can lead in ARPU in case BrT be acquired by Oi

 

The joint venture of Telemig would have little effect on the ARPU of Vivo.

 

 

Net Revenue: Vivo wins in 2007 and Tim in 4Q07

 

Both operators, Vivo and Tim, divided the leadership during the 4 quarters of 2007, but Vivo won the leadership in net income in the year of 2007 with R$ 12,493 million against R$ 12,442 million of Tim.

 

 

R$ Millions
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
2007
Revenue Share 2007
Vivo
2,851
3,021
3,249
3,372
12,493
29.2%
Tim
2,843
3,060
3,163
3,374
12,442
29.1%
Claro
2,155
2,431
2,538
2,864
9,988
23.4%
Oi
1,000
1,028
1,063
1,106
4,195
9.8%
Telemig/Amaz
432
461
463
508
1,864
4.3%
BrT
385
429
449
483
1,746
4.1%

 

Tim surpassed Vivo in services net income with R$ 11,420 millions in 2007 against R$ 11,089 millions of Vivo.

 

With the joint venture of Telemig, Vivo might consolidate this leadership in 2008.

 

Profit

 

Amazônia/Telemig was leader in profit in 2007 surpassing the others in EBITDA margin (32.8%) and EBIT margin (15%). It was surpassed in profit by Oi, which had, negative EBIT margin in the year.

 

 

2007
EBITDA margin
EBIT margin
Profit (loss)
Amaz/Telemig
32.8%
15.0%
148
Oi
27.5%
-6.3%
456
Vivo
25.1%
1.9%
-99
Claro
25.0%
-6.7%
N.D.
TIM
23.1%
2.0%
76
BrT
3.1%
-38.3%
-182
Brazil
24.1%
4.4%
-

 

These positions suffered small changes in 4Q07 with Oi surpassing the Amaz/Telemig in EBITDA margin. The biggest growth in net adds submitted by the Amaz/Telemig in 4Q07 contributed to the fall of its EBITDA margin in the quarter. That wasn't higher because of the gains submitted with reversal provision of the ICMS (Tax) in Pará.

 

 

4Q07
EBITDA Margin
EBIT Margin
Profit
(R$ Millions)
Oi
31.8%
15.9%
216
Telemig/Amaz
29.8%
19.7%
42
TIM
27.1%
9.3%
183
Vivo
26.9%
13.6%
28
Claro
23.6%
-0.7%
ND
BrT GSM
2.1%
-18.6%
-51

 

 

Notice Vivo, Tim and Oi in the 4Q07 the effort to improve the outcome of the year. Tim went from a loss of R$ 122 million in 3Q07 to a profit of R$ 183 million in 4Q07. This is the first time, since 2004, that Tim ends the year with profit. BrT got loss in all quarters of 2007.

 

In 2008, with investments to the entrance into new markets mainly by Oi and Vivo, with the implantation of 3G, the operators will have difficulties to improve their profitability in relation to those presented in 2007.

 

Quality: Telemig/Amazônia leadership

 

Telemig/Amazonia Celular was the leader in 2007. It led in all previous quarters, but had no problems with the 4Q07 with the Telemig Banda E that didn't work as targets for the indicators SMP3 and SMP5 in dec/07 (more details).

 

The leadership in 4Q07 was with Claro that reached all the goals for the first time this year.

 

Attended Goals
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
2007
Telemig/Amaz
98.0%
100%
100%
83.3%
98.0%
Vivo
91.0%
97.2%
99.2%
99.7%
96.5%
Claro
92.3%
95.1%
98.1%
100%
96.2%
Brazil
94.3%
96.5%
97.1%
95.9%
95.5%
BrT GSM
96.0%
94.4%
96.0%
93.9%
95.6%
Tim
97.9%
95.9%
94.9%
93.5%
93.7%
Oi
79.5%
100%
84.8%
86.4%
87.9%

 

With the sale of Telemig to Vivo a disputa pela liderança em qualidade em 2008 deve se dar entre Vivo e Claro.

 

With the sale of Telemig for Vivo the dispute by quality leadership in 2008 should be given between Vivo and Claro.

 

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