11/15/2010

In 3Q10, Vivo leads in four indicators, Tim in two and Oi in one

 

 

by Debora Vieira

 

The third quarter of 2010 (3Q10) showed a more balance between operators with Vivo losing the leadership in quality for Tim. Even so, Vivo continues to lead in 4 of the 7 indicators selected by Teleco.

 

 

 

 

Tim led in two indicators (Quality and Growth) and Oi in one (Profitability).

 

 

Leader in
Indicator
Leader in 1Q10
Leader in 2Q10
Leader in 3Q10
Mobile Accesses
Market Share
Vivo
Vivo
Vivo
Growth
Net Adds
Vivo
Tim
Tim
Revenue
Net Revenue
Vivo
Vivo
Vivo
Revenue per Client
ARPU
Vivo
Vivo
Vivo
Profitability
EBITDA Margin
Oi
Oi
Oi
Quality
Anatel's Targets
Vivo
Vivo
Tim
Coverage
Covered Population
Vivo
Vivo
Vivo

Note: The order doesn't show indicators' importance. CTBC and Sercomtel weren't included. Oi includes BrT.

 

 

Since 2007, Teleco keeps track of mobile operators' performance in Brazil which is measured through these 7 indicators. The following presents the results for each one of these indicators.

 

 

 

Market Share: Vivo leads and Tim gets near to Claro in 3Q10

 

Vivo, the biggest cellular operator in Brazil, ended 3Q10 counting 57.7 million mobile accesses and market share reaching 30.1%, with fall of 0.09 percentage points (p.p.) in the quarter.

 

 

 

 

In 3Q10, Tim gained 0.52 p.p. in market share and Claro 0.14 p.p.. Oi lost 0.57 p.p. and started to present market share than 20%.

 

-
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
p.p. (Quarter)
Vivo
29.70%
29.33%
29.40%
29.75%
30.12%
30.24%
30.14%
-0.09%
Claro
25.76%
25.36%
25.45%
25.52%
25.45%
25.33%
25.47%
0.14%
TIM
23.50%
23.71%
23.85%
23.63%
23.65%
24.00%
24.52%
0.52%
Oi
20.67%
21.22%
20.93%
20.73%
20.41%
20.08%
19.51%
-0.57%

 

Vivo is the market share leader in three regions, in 12 of the 26 states (plus Brasília, Brazilian Federal District) and in 31 of the 67 local areas (Area Codes). Tim became leader in Pernambuco, overtaking Oi.

 

-
Market Share Leader in 3Q10
Region
State*
Area Code
Vivo
I, II and III
12
31
Claro
-
6
13
Tim
-
6
17
Oi
-
3
6

*Including Brasília

Vivo is amplifying its leadership in postpaid market share while Tim is growing in prepaid, surpassing Claro in prepaid market share in 3Q10.

 

Market Share Postpaid Prepaid
2Q10
3Q10
2Q10
3Q10
Vivo
34.7%
35.3%
29.3%
29.0%
Claro
27.3%
27.4%
24.9%
25.1%
Tim
21.3%
21.2%
24.6%
25.3%
Oi
16.1%
15.5%
20.9%
20.4%

 

 

 

Growth: Tim leads in 3Q10

 

Tim kept the net adds leadership in 3Q10, overtaking Vivo and Claro. By this result, de difference between Claro and Tim dropped to 1.8 million mobile accesses.

 

 

 

 

Vivo continues to lead the net adds accumulated in the year with 6.0 million, followed by Tim with 5.8 million.

 

In 3Q10, Oi continued to show lower net adds if compared with other operators even inside the state of São Paulo where the company presented net adds of 87 thousand mobile accesses in the quarter.

 

 

 

Net Revenue: Vivo amplifies it advantage over Tim

 

Vivo amplified its leadership in net revenue over Tim (second in net revenue ranking).

 

 

R$ Billions
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
Vivo
4.0
4.0
4.2
4.4
4.2
4.4
4.6
Tim
3.2
3.5
3.4
3.5
3.3
3.5
3.6
Claro
2.7
2.8
2.6
3.2
2.8
2.9
2.6
Oi
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.5
2.5
2.6
2.6

Note: Tim includes Intelig. Vivo and Claro adopt IFRS. Tim and Oi don't adopt it. Claro's values for 3Q09 and 3Q10 were reported considering the integration with Embratel which eliminated common revenues.

 

The net data revenue was responsible for great part of Vivo's revenue growth which reached R$ 843 million in 3Q10 with 61.4% growth over 3Q09. Data revenue already represents 19.6% of Vivo net service revenue. For Tim, voice is still the main responsible for the revenue growth.

 

 

 

ARPU: Vivo keeps the leadership in 3Q10

 

The data revenue growth, stimulated by investments in 3G, helped Vivo to keep the ARPU leadership.

 

 

R$
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
Vivo
27.3
26.3
26.4
27.1
24.8
25.0
25.2
TIM
26.2
26.8
26.0
27.0
24.0
24.1
23.4
Claro
22.0
22.0
21.0
22.0
20.0
19.0
19.0
Oi
21.1
21.0
22.2
22.5
21.8
22.4
22.9
ARPU Brazil
24.4
24.2
24.7
24.8
22.8
22.7
22.7

Note: Tim includes Intelig. Vivo and Claro adopt IFRS. Tim and Oi don't adopt it. Claro's values for 3Q09 and 3Q10 were reported considering the integration with Embratel which eliminated common revenues.

 

 

Tim, which is growing mainly in prepaid market, showed drop in ARPU, but the company is leader in quantity of minutes used monthly per user (MOU).

 

 

Minutes
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
Vivo
77
80
89
119
116
114
115
Claro
85
73
86
93
92
93
100
TIM
70
73
90
99
100
110
123
MOU Brazil
77
76
88
105
103
106
113

Note: Oi doesn't release this indicator.

 

 

 

Profitability: Oi leads in EBITDA Margin

 

Again, Oi mobile led profitability holding superior EBITDA margin if compared with other operators. Vivo presented the biggest growth in its EBITDA margin reaching 33.4% in the quarter.

 

 

EBITDA Margin
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
Oi
16.9%
19.8%
30.4%
19.8%
32.4%
34.6%
35.4%
Vivo
30.4%
30.3%
33.4%
31.7%
30.1%
30.5%
33.4%
Claro
26.7%
25.9%
-
24.5%
31.7%
26.3%
-
Tim
19.5%
21.9%
22.5%
27.7%
24.8%
25.1%
25.3%
Brazil
24.2%
25.0%
28.8%
26.7%
29.4%
28.8%
31.0%

Note: Tim includes Intelig. In 3Q10, América Móvil started to release Claro's results consolidated with Embratel.

 

 

Oi mobile's EBITDA margin (35.4%) got very close to Oi Group's (37.0%).

 

 

 

Quality: Tim reaches the leadership

 

Tim conquered the quality leadership by reaching Anatel's targets surpassing Vivo which was the leader since the beginning of 2008.

 

 

Accomplished targets
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
Tim
95.7%
98.9%
95.8%
97.3%
98.5%
99.0%
99.9%
Vivo
99.9%
99.9%
99.3%
99.5%
99.9%
99.9%
99.4%
Claro
88.0%
95.1%
89.1%
98.5%
98.7%
98.5%
97.8%
Oi
91.4%
83.9%
82.7%
83.0%
82.8%
80.6%
79.1%

 

 

Despite being overtaken by Tim in quality, Vivo's performance was better in Anatel's data about complaints and IDA.

 

 

 

Coverage: Vivo keeps the leadership

 

Vivo kept the coverage leadership with 90.0% of covered population, despite of being threatened by Claro. Vivo covers more cities.

 

 

  Covered Cities Covered Population
Operator 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 3Q10
Vivo 3,499 3,610 3,636 90.0%
Claro 3,346 3,346 3,464 89.8%
Tim 2,922 3,202 3,205 89.4%
Oi 2,516 2,912 2,912 83.0%

Source: Anatel

Note: Apr/10 was expired the deadline for operators to cover the cities where there are less than 30 thousand inhabitants, according to the deal set during the acquisition of 3G frequencies. Anatel is still evaluating the coverage in these cities.

 

 

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