Telecom will have smaller growth in 2014
It's already possible to say that the growth of the Brazilian telecommunication sector, measured by the number of accesses, will be smaller in 2014 in comparison with 2013.
Mobile net adds, fixed broadband accesses (SCM) and pay TV accumulated in the first eight months of 2014 were inferior to the numbers registered in the same period of 2013.
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This trend remained in the last quarter of the year. In the best hypothesis, net adds in the last four months of the year will be the same as in similar period of 2013.
The survey to point the intent to purchase carried out by PROVAR/FIA indicated that the intent to purchase telephony products and cell phones in 4Q14 is the same registered in 4Q13.
In this scenario, 2014 will presente drop in the accesses growth of the main telecom services.
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In mobile telephony this reduction in the growth happens inside postpaid segment.
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Mobile telephony went through a phase of transition from 2G technology (GSM) to 3G. The bigger growth happens in the number of 3G handsets, mainly smartphones and 4G. Data terminals (broadband and M2M) are showing in 2014 smaller growth in comparison with 2013.
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In pay TV segment, the drop in net adds occurred among the accesses via satellite and among cable TV.
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